Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.002993 0.003134 0.003278 0.003436 0.003604 0.003778 0.003972
2025-04-20 0.002748 0.002960 0.003184 0.003440 0.003724 0.004032 0.004391
2025-04-27 0.002625 0.002882 0.003162 0.003490 0.003867 0.004287 0.004796
2025-05-04 0.002480 0.002764 0.003078 0.003456 0.003899 0.004407 0.005038
2025-05-11 0.002369 0.002672 0.003015 0.003434 0.003937 0.004526 0.005277
2025-05-18 0.002272 0.002590 0.002956 0.003410 0.003965 0.004629 0.005494
2025-05-25 0.002228 0.002568 0.002963 0.003463 0.004084 0.004842 0.005854
2025-06-01 0.002157 0.002508 0.002922 0.003452 0.004122 0.004953 0.006086
2025-06-08 0.002085 0.002444 0.002871 0.003425 0.004135 0.005032 0.006276
2025-06-15 0.002006 0.002367 0.002802 0.003372 0.004111 0.005059 0.006395
2025-06-22 0.001937 0.002301 0.002742 0.003327 0.004096 0.005093 0.006524
2025-06-29 0.001894 0.002264 0.002718 0.003327 0.004136 0.005202 0.006758
2025-07-06 0.001805 0.002168 0.002617 0.003222 0.004036 0.005118 0.006719
2025-07-13 0.001768 0.002138 0.002598 0.003226 0.004080 0.005233 0.006968
2025-07-20 0.001752 0.002133 0.002612 0.003272 0.004183 0.005432 0.007348
2025-07-27 0.001705 0.002086 0.002569 0.003240 0.004176 0.005476 0.007499
2025-08-03 0.001665 0.002047 0.002536 0.003221 0.004185 0.005541 0.007684
2025-08-10 0.001626 0.002010 0.002502 0.003199 0.004189 0.005598 0.007857
2025-08-17 0.001617 0.002010 0.002519 0.003247 0.004294 0.005806 0.008277
2025-08-24 0.001586 0.001980 0.002495 0.003237 0.004315 0.005888 0.008499
2025-08-31 0.001551 0.001945 0.002462 0.003212 0.004312 0.005935 0.008665
2025-09-07 0.001509 0.001899 0.002413 0.003163 0.004272 0.005922 0.008731
2025-09-14 0.001471 0.001858 0.002370 0.003123 0.004242 0.005924 0.008821